TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


800 PM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...



A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST

OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION

...BUT DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER.

HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT

AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT

COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15

MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE

FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE COAST OF

NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER

THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. SIGNIFICANT

DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND IN

THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS

SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS. WATER DAMAGE